Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,424
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU21.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP13.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Oct 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,424 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.4average 26.4
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- Grüne +0.7average 15.3
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- FDP +0.1average 12.9
- CDU/CSU ±0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD173
- CDU/CSU145
- Grüne111
- FDP90
- AfD76
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP374 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD332 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.