Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,410
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%±0
- CDU/CSU19.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- FDP14.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Oct 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 19.0%. 1,410 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Oct 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.5 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.5average 21.5
- Grüne +1.7average 15.3
- FDP +1.5average 12.5
- Linke -0.9average 5.9
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- SPD -0.3average 26.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD180
- CDU/CSU131
- Grüne118
- FDP97
- AfD69
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne429 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP408 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP395 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD380 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke346 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.