Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 October 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Sep 2021 to 5 Oct 2021
- Respondents
- 1,985
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- FDP13.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%-2.0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others6.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Sep 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,985 people were surveyed from 28 Sep 2021 to 5 Oct 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Sep 2021, FDP gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.7 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Oct 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.7average 15.3
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 21.6
- Linke -1.0average 6.0
- FDP +0.7average 12.3
- AfD -0.6average 10.6
- SPD -0.4average 26.4
- Freie Wähler +0.2average 2.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD180
- CDU/CSU138
- Grüne118
- FDP90
- AfD69
- Linke35
- SPD + CDU/CSU318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP388 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP346 of 630
- SPD + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.