Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
1 to 7 Sep 2021
Respondents
1,901
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%±0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%±0
  • Grüne17.0%-2.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke6.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Sep 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,901 people were surveyed from 1 to 7 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Sep 2021, Grüne loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +0.9average 11.1
  • Grüne +0.5average 16.5
  • Linke -0.5average 6.5
  • SPD -0.3average 25.3
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 21.3
  • FDP -0.1average 12.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 170 seatsCDU/CSU: 142 seatsGrüne: 115 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 81 seatsLinke: 41 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD170
  • CDU/CSU142
  • Grüne115
  • FDP81
  • AfD81
  • Linke41
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne427 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP393 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD393 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD366 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP338 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD338 of 630
  • SPD + FDP + AfD332 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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