Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 September 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Sep 2021
- Respondents
- 1,543
- Method
- Telefonisch
- SPD26.0%+1.0
- CDU/CSU20.0%-1.0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- AfD12.0%±0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others8.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Sep 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 20.0%. 1,543 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Sep 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Sep 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 21.3
- Grüne +1.0average 16.0
- AfD +0.9average 11.1
- FDP -0.6average 11.6
- SPD +0.4average 25.6
- Linke -0.4average 6.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- SPD178
- CDU/CSU137
- Grüne117
- AfD82
- FDP75
- Linke41
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne432 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD397 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP390 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD377 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP370 of 630
- SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD336 of 630
- SPD + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.