Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 September 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
25 to 31 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,439
Method
Telefonisch
  • SPD25.0%+2.0
  • CDU/CSU21.0%-2.0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Aug 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has SPD ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 21.0%. 1,439 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.7 points higher and Grüne 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.7average 23.3
  • Grüne +1.6average 17.4
  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 22.5
  • FDP -1.0average 12.0
  • Linke +0.4average 6.6
  • AfD +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

SPD: 167 seatsCDU/CSU: 141 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsFDP: 74 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • SPD167
  • CDU/CSU141
  • Grüne127
  • FDP74
  • AfD74
  • Linke47
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Grüne435 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + FDP382 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + AfD382 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP368 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD368 of 630
  • SPD + CDU/CSU + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD342 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke341 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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