Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 August 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,919
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU23.0%+1.0
  • SPD23.0%+2.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • FDP12.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Aug 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 23.0%, followed by SPD on 23.0%. 1,919 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 3.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +3.1average 19.9
  • CDU/CSU -2.1average 25.1
  • FDP +0.3average 11.7
  • Grüne +0.2average 17.8
  • Linke -0.1average 7.1
  • AfD ±0average 11.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 154 seatsSPD: 154 seatsGrüne: 121 seatsFDP: 80 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU154
  • SPD154
  • Grüne121
  • FDP80
  • AfD74
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne429 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP388 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD382 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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