Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,920
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU22.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+2.0
- Grüne19.0%-2.0
- FDP12.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Aug 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 22.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,920 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Aug 2021, SPD gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 4.0 points lower and SPD 2.2 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -4.0average 26.0
- SPD +2.2average 18.8
- Grüne +0.6average 18.4
- FDP +0.4average 11.6
- AfD +0.2average 10.8
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU151
- SPD144
- Grüne130
- FDP82
- AfD75
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.