Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 August 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Aug 2021
Respondents
1,446
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU22.0%-2.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD19.0%+1.0
  • FDP12.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%+2.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Aug 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 22.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,446 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Aug 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 5.1 points lower and SPD 2.1 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -5.1average 27.1
  • SPD +2.1average 16.9
  • Grüne +1.9average 19.1
  • FDP +0.4average 11.6
  • AfD +0.3average 10.7
  • Linke +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 151 seatsGrüne: 144 seatsSPD: 130 seatsFDP: 82 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU151
  • Grüne144
  • SPD130
  • FDP82
  • AfD75
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD425 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP363 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP356 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke329 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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