Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 August 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Jul 2021 to 3 Aug 2021
- Respondents
- 1,413
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU24.0%-3.0
- Grüne22.0%+3.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- FDP13.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Jul 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,413 people were surveyed from 28 Jul 2021 to 3 Aug 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 3.8 points lower and Grüne 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Aug 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -3.8average 27.8
- Grüne +2.8average 19.2
- SPD +1.6average 16.4
- FDP +1.2average 11.8
- Linke -0.8average 6.8
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU161
- Grüne147
- SPD121
- FDP87
- AfD74
- Linke40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD429 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP395 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD382 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD356 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.