Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,441
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP13.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke6.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Jul 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,441 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 28.2
- SPD +1.2average 15.8
- FDP +1.1average 11.9
- Linke -1.0average 7.0
- AfD +0.5average 10.5
- Grüne -0.2average 19.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne129
- SPD115
- FDP88
- AfD74
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD427 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke339 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.