Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,421
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke7.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jul 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,421 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Jul 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 28.8
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- FDP +0.6average 11.4
- Grüne -0.4average 19.4
- Linke +0.2average 6.8
- SPD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne129
- SPD108
- FDP81
- AfD75
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.