Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,495
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others7.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Jul 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,495 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.0average 16.0
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- Linke +0.9average 7.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 28.8
- Grüne +0.3average 19.7
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU190
- Grüne135
- SPD102
- FDP75
- AfD74
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.