Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Jun 2021 to 6 Jul 2021
- Respondents
- 1,405
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%+1.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Jul 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,405 people were surveyed from 29 Jun 2021 to 6 Jul 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Jul 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 20.1
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- Linke +0.8average 7.2
- CDU/CSU +0.1average 28.9
- FDP -0.1average 11.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- FDP75
- AfD74
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP373 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke324 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.