Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 July 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,418
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne20.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Jun 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,418 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Jun 2021, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Jul 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.4average 11.4
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 29.0
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne -0.4average 20.4
- Linke -0.2average 7.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- Grüne137
- SPD110
- AfD75
- FDP68
- Linke48
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.