Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,430
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
  • Grüne19.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • FDP11.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others8.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Jun 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,430 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.3 points lower and SPD 1.8 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.3average 21.3
  • SPD +1.8average 15.2
  • FDP -0.8average 11.8
  • AfD -0.4average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 28.1
  • Linke ±0average 7.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 192 seatsGrüne: 130 seatsSPD: 116 seatsFDP: 75 seatsAfD: 69 seatsLinke: 48 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU192
  • Grüne130
  • SPD116
  • FDP75
  • AfD69
  • Linke48
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP383 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD336 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP321 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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