Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 June 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Jun 2021
- Respondents
- 1,413
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- Grüne20.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP12.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Jun 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,413 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.1 points higher and Grüne 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.1average 14.9
- Grüne -1.8average 21.8
- AfD -0.9average 10.9
- FDP +0.3average 11.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
- Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU183
- Grüne136
- SPD115
- FDP81
- AfD68
- Linke47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.