Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
2 to 8 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,421
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%+2.0
  • Grüne21.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • FDP13.0%±0
  • AfD11.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Jun 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 21.0%. 1,421 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Jun 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -1.6average 22.6
  • FDP +1.3average 11.7
  • SPD +1.1average 14.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
  • AfD +0.2average 10.8
  • Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 174 seatsGrüne: 141 seatsSPD: 107 seatsFDP: 87 seatsAfD: 74 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU174
  • Grüne141
  • SPD107
  • FDP87
  • AfD74
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD422 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP402 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD389 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP368 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke328 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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