Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 June 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
26 May 2021 to 1 Jun 2021
Respondents
1,419
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU24.0%-1.0
  • Grüne22.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • FDP13.0%+1.0
  • AfD11.0%-1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others7.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 May 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 24.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,419 people were surveyed from 26 May 2021 to 1 Jun 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 May 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower and Grüne 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 5 Jun 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 25.6
  • Grüne -1.5average 23.5
  • SPD +1.2average 14.8
  • FDP +1.1average 11.9
  • AfD +0.2average 10.8
  • Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 163 seatsGrüne: 149 seatsSPD: 108 seatsFDP: 88 seatsAfD: 75 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU163
  • Grüne149
  • SPD108
  • FDP88
  • AfD75
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + SPD420 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP400 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD387 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP359 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD346 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP345 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD326 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke318 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.