Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 May 2021
Respondents
1,422
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
  • Grüne23.0%-1.0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD12.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,422 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.1average 10.9
  • Grüne -0.7average 23.7
  • CDU/CSU -0.5average 25.5
  • FDP +0.3average 11.7
  • SPD +0.1average 14.9
  • Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 168 seatsGrüne: 154 seatsSPD: 101 seatsFDP: 80 seatsAfD: 80 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU168
  • Grüne154
  • SPD101
  • FDP80
  • AfD80
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke316 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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