Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 18 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,445
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+2.0
- Grüne24.0%-1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%±0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 May 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 24.0%. 1,445 people were surveyed from 11 to 18 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 May 2021, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +1.2average 6.8
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- CDU/CSU +0.9average 25.1
- Grüne -0.4average 24.4
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- FDP -0.3average 11.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU174
- Grüne161
- SPD94
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke53
- CDU/CSU + Grüne335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP329 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.