Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 11 May 2021
- Respondents
- 1,428
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne25.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- FDP11.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 May 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has Grüne ahead on 25.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,428 people were surveyed from 6 to 11 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 25.3
- Linke +1.0average 7.0
- Grüne +0.4average 24.6
- AfD +0.4average 10.6
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne167
- CDU/CSU161
- SPD100
- FDP74
- AfD74
- Linke54
- Grüne + CDU/CSU328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP341 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke321 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.