Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 May 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
29 Apr 2021 to 5 May 2021
Respondents
1,910
Method
Telefonisch
  • Grüne26.0%-1.0
  • CDU/CSU23.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • FDP12.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 May 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has Grüne ahead on 26.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 23.0%. 1,910 people were surveyed from 29 Apr 2021 to 5 May 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 May 2021, Grüne loses 1.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.0average 25.0
  • Grüne +1.2average 24.8
  • SPD +1.2average 14.8
  • FDP +1.0average 11.0
  • AfD -0.7average 10.7
  • Linke +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

Grüne: 174 seatsCDU/CSU: 154 seatsSPD: 107 seatsFDP: 81 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • Grüne174
  • CDU/CSU154
  • SPD107
  • FDP81
  • AfD67
  • Linke47
  • Grüne + CDU/CSU328 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP362 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD328 of 630
  • Grüne + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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