Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 May 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Apr 2021
- Respondents
- 1,442
- Method
- Telefonisch
- Grüne27.0%-1.0
- CDU/CSU24.0%-3.0
- SPD15.0%+2.0
- FDP11.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Apr 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has Grüne ahead on 27.0%, followed by CDU/CSU on 24.0%. 1,442 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Apr 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Apr 2021, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 3.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 May 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.1average 23.9
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 25.8
- AfD -0.7average 10.7
- Linke -0.3average 7.3
- SPD +0.1average 14.9
- FDP +0.1average 10.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- Grüne181
- CDU/CSU161
- SPD100
- FDP74
- AfD67
- Linke47
- Grüne + CDU/CSU342 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP355 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP335 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD328 of 630
- Grüne + FDP + AfD322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.