Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 March 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,447
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU25.0%-2.0
  • Grüne23.0%+1.0
  • SPD17.0%±0
  • FDP10.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • Linke9.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Mar 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,447 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 4.7 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -4.7average 29.7
  • Grüne +2.3average 20.7
  • Linke +1.6average 7.4
  • FDP +1.1average 8.9
  • AfD -0.5average 10.5
  • SPD +0.4average 16.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 168 seatsGrüne: 154 seatsSPD: 114 seatsFDP: 67 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU168
  • Grüne154
  • SPD114
  • FDP67
  • AfD67
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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