Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 March 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 24 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,447
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Mar 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,447 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 4.7 points lower and Grüne 2.3 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -4.7average 29.7
  • Grüne +2.3average 20.7
  • Linke +1.6average 7.4
  • FDP +1.1average 8.9
  • AfD -0.5average 10.5
  • SPD +0.4average 16.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 168 seatsGrüne: 154 seatsSPD: 114 seatsFDP: 67 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 60 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU168
  • Grüne154
  • SPD114
  • FDP67
  • AfD67
  • Linke60
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD335 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + Linke328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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