Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 April 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 to 31 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,429
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- Grüne23.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- FDP9.0%-1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Mar 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by Grüne on 23.0%. 1,429 people were surveyed from 25 to 31 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower and Linke 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Apr 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.6average 27.6
- Linke +1.6average 7.4
- Grüne +1.3average 21.7
- AfD -0.9average 10.9
- FDP -0.6average 9.6
- SPD -0.5average 16.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU176
- Grüne156
- SPD108
- AfD68
- FDP61
- Linke61
- CDU/CSU + Grüne332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke345 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD332 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP325 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.