Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 1,942
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-4.0
- Grüne22.0%+3.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- FDP10.0%+2.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- Others6.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Mar 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,942 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 5.1 points lower and Grüne 2.4 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -5.1average 32.1
- Grüne +2.4average 19.6
- FDP +1.9average 8.1
- SPD +0.5average 16.5
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
- AfD -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- Grüne147
- SPD114
- FDP67
- AfD67
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP328 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.