Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 March 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Mar 2021
Respondents
1,942
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Mar 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by Grüne on 22.0%. 1,942 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 4.0 points, Grüne gains 3.0 points, FDP gains 2.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 5.1 points lower and Grüne 2.4 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -5.1average 32.1
  • Grüne +2.4average 19.6
  • FDP +1.9average 8.1
  • SPD +0.5average 16.5
  • Linke +0.5average 7.5
  • AfD -0.3average 10.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 181 seatsGrüne: 147 seatsSPD: 114 seatsFDP: 67 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU181
  • Grüne147
  • SPD114
  • FDP67
  • AfD67
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne328 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke349 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + FDP328 of 630
  • Grüne + SPD + AfD328 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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