Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 4 to 10 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,378
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- FDP8.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%-1.0
- Others7.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Mar 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,378 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Mar 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.9 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.9average 33.9
- AfD +0.7average 10.3
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- Grüne +0.2average 18.8
- FDP +0.2average 7.8
- SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- Grüne129
- SPD108
- AfD75
- FDP54
- Linke54
- CDU/CSU + Grüne339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.