Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 March 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Feb 2021 to 3 Mar 2021
- Respondents
- 2,410
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%-2.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- AfD10.0%+1.0
- FDP9.0%+1.0
- Linke9.0%±0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Feb 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,410 people were surveyed from 25 Feb 2021 to 3 Mar 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.3 points lower and Linke 1.5 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Mar 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.3average 34.3
- Linke +1.5average 7.5
- FDP +1.4average 7.6
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
- SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- Grüne126
- SPD106
- AfD66
- FDP60
- Linke60
- CDU/CSU + Grüne338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.