Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 February 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
4 to 10 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,569
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD17.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke7.0%±0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Feb 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,569 people were surveyed from 4 to 10 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +1.6average 15.4
  • CDU/CSU -1.1average 36.1
  • Grüne -1.1average 19.1
  • FDP +0.9average 7.1
  • AfD +0.6average 9.4
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 232 seatsGrüne: 120 seatsSPD: 113 seatsAfD: 66 seatsFDP: 53 seatsLinke: 46 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU232
  • Grüne120
  • SPD113
  • AfD66
  • FDP53
  • Linke46
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP351 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke344 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke331 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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