Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 February 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
28 Jan 2021 to 3 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,412
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Jan 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,412 people were surveyed from 28 Jan 2021 to 3 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Jan 2021, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 7 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD +0.7average 15.3
  • Linke -0.6average 7.6
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
  • AfD -0.4average 9.4
  • FDP +0.4average 6.6
  • Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 242 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU242
  • Grüne127
  • SPD107
  • AfD60
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne369 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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