Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 27 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,427
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
- Grüne19.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Jan 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,427 people were surveyed from 21 to 27 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Jan 2021, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Linke +0.6average 7.4
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- AfD -0.4average 9.4
- Grüne +0.3average 18.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- CDU/CSU -0.1average 36.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne127
- SPD101
- AfD60
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.