Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 1,922
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne20.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- AfD9.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Jan 2021.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 20.0%. 1,922 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Jan 2021, Grüne gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.1average 18.9
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 35.9
- AfD -0.7average 9.7
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- Grüne134
- SPD100
- AfD60
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.