Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 January 2021 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 13 Jan 2021
- Respondents
- 2,398
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 2,398 people were surveyed from 5 to 13 Jan 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Dec 2020, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jan 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 19.1
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 36.3
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
- Linke +0.1average 7.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU241
- Grüne121
- SPD100
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 19 Dec 2020Verian (Emnid), 24 Jan 2021 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2021
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.