Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 December 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Dec 2020
- Respondents
- 2,401
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%+1.0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Dec 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,401 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 Dec 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 36.7
- SPD +1.2average 15.8
- AfD +0.6average 9.4
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- Grüne +0.1average 18.9
- FDP ±0average 6.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU232
- Grüne126
- SPD113
- AfD66
- Linke53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.