Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 December 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Dec 2020
Respondents
2,374
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU35.0%±0
  • Grüne19.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD10.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Dec 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,374 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 Dec 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.6 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.6average 36.6
  • FDP +1.1average 5.9
  • Linke -0.7average 7.7
  • AfD +0.5average 9.5
  • SPD +0.4average 15.6
  • Grüne +0.1average 18.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 235 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 67 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU235
  • Grüne127
  • SPD107
  • AfD67
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke329 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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