Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 December 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
26 Nov 2020 to 2 Dec 2020
Respondents
1,438
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU35.0%+1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • SPD15.0%-1.0
  • AfD10.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Others6.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Nov 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,438 people were surveyed from 26 Nov 2020 to 2 Dec 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Dec 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.5average 36.5
  • FDP +1.0average 6.0
  • SPD -0.5average 15.5
  • Linke +0.5average 7.5
  • AfD +0.4average 9.6
  • Grüne -0.2average 19.2
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 235 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 100 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU235
  • Grüne127
  • SPD100
  • AfD67
  • Linke54
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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