Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,517
Method
Telefonisch

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Nov 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,517 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and FDP 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 36.6
  • FDP +1.9average 6.1
  • Grüne -1.4average 19.4
  • AfD -0.6average 9.6
  • SPD +0.5average 15.5
  • Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 231 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 108 seatsAfD: 61 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU231
  • Grüne122
  • SPD108
  • AfD61
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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