Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
19 to 25 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,517
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-2.0
  • Grüne18.0%±0
  • SPD16.0%±0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Nov 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,517 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.6 points lower and FDP 1.9 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.6average 36.6
  • FDP +1.9average 6.1
  • Grüne -1.4average 19.4
  • AfD -0.6average 9.6
  • SPD +0.5average 15.5
  • Linke +0.5average 7.5
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 231 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 108 seatsAfD: 61 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU231
  • Grüne122
  • SPD108
  • AfD61
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke346 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke339 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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