Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 November 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Nov 2020
Respondents
1,927
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%+1.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • AfD9.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%±0
  • Linke7.0%-1.0
  • Others7.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Nov 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,927 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD -1.1average 10.1
  • FDP +1.1average 5.9
  • Grüne -0.8average 18.8
  • CDU/CSU -0.4average 36.4
  • SPD +0.4average 15.6
  • Linke -0.4average 7.4
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 244 seatsGrüne: 122 seatsSPD: 109 seatsAfD: 61 seatsFDP: 47 seatsLinke: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU244
  • Grüne122
  • SPD109
  • AfD61
  • FDP47
  • Linke47
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke338 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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