Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 November 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Nov 2020
- Respondents
- 2,405
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU35.0%-1.0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD9.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Others7.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Nov 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 35.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 2,405 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Nov 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Nov 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Nov 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.4average 10.4
- FDP +1.3average 5.7
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 35.9
- SPD -0.5average 15.5
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
- Grüne -0.1average 19.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU237
- Grüne129
- SPD102
- AfD61
- Linke54
- FDP47
- CDU/CSU + Grüne366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP338 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.