Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 February 2021 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
11 to 17 Feb 2021
Respondents
1,905
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU34.0%-1.0
  • Grüne19.0%+1.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD9.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%±0
  • Linke8.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Feb 2021.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 34.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,905 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Feb 2021, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 Feb 2021, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 Feb 2021. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 35.2
  • FDP +0.7average 7.3
  • AfD -0.6average 9.6
  • Linke +0.3average 7.7
  • SPD +0.1average 15.9
  • Grüne ±0average 19.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 228 seatsGrüne: 127 seatsSPD: 107 seatsAfD: 60 seatsFDP: 54 seatsLinke: 54 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU228
  • Grüne127
  • SPD107
  • AfD60
  • FDP54
  • Linke54
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD335 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + FDP + Linke336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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