Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 August 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
13 to 19 Aug 2020
Respondents
2,107
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • SPD17.0%-1.0
  • Grüne16.0%±0
  • AfD10.0%-1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP7.0%+1.0
  • Others6.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Aug 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 2,107 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Aug 2020, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.6 points lower and SPD 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Grüne -2.6average 18.6
  • SPD +1.6average 15.4
  • FDP +1.4average 5.6
  • CDU/CSU -1.0average 37.0
  • Linke +0.4average 7.6
  • AfD +0.1average 9.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 241 seatsSPD: 114 seatsGrüne: 107 seatsAfD: 67 seatsLinke: 54 seatsFDP: 47 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU241
  • SPD114
  • Grüne107
  • AfD67
  • Linke54
  • FDP47
  • CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne348 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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