Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 30 August 2020 for the federal election

Commissioned by
BILD am Sonntag
Fieldwork period
18 to 26 Aug 2020
Respondents
1,597
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU36.0%±0
  • Grüne18.0%+2.0
  • SPD16.0%-1.0
  • AfD11.0%+1.0
  • Linke8.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Aug 2020.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,597 people were surveyed from 18 to 26 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 Aug 2020, Grüne gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 30 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • AfD +1.1average 9.9
  • CDU/CSU -0.9average 36.9
  • Linke +0.4average 7.6
  • FDP +0.4average 5.6
  • Grüne -0.1average 18.1
  • SPD ±0average 16.0
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 239 seatsGrüne: 119 seatsSPD: 106 seatsAfD: 73 seatsLinke: 53 seatsFDP: 40 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU239
  • Grüne119
  • SPD106
  • AfD73
  • Linke53
  • FDP40
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne358 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD345 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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