Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,912
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU36.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%+3.0
- Grüne16.0%-2.0
- AfD11.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Aug 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 36.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,912 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Aug 2020, SPD gains 3.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, Grüne loses 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.8 points higher and Grüne 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +2.8average 15.2
- Grüne -2.7average 18.7
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 37.1
- AfD +1.0average 10.0
- Linke +0.5average 7.5
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU239
- SPD119
- Grüne106
- AfD73
- Linke53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP332 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.