Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Jul 2020 to 6 Aug 2020
- Respondents
- 1,564
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%+1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- AfD11.0%+1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others4.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Aug 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,564 people were surveyed from 30 Jul 2020 to 6 Aug 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Aug 2020, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 37.2
- Grüne -0.5average 18.5
- SPD +0.4average 14.6
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- FDP +0.1average 5.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU250
- Grüne118
- SPD98
- AfD72
- Linke53
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.