Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 August 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,449
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Jul 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,449 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Jul 2020, Grüne loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Aug 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.6average 18.6
- SPD +1.4average 14.6
- Linke +0.3average 7.7
- FDP +0.3average 5.7
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 37.2
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU248
- Grüne114
- SPD107
- AfD67
- Linke54
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP342 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.