Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 2 to 8 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,426
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 2 to 8 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Jul 2020, Grüne loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.2average 18.2
- AfD +0.9average 10.1
- CDU/CSU +0.4average 37.6
- Linke +0.4average 7.6
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- SPD -0.1average 15.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- Grüne113
- SPD99
- AfD73
- Linke53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD325 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 4 Jul 2020Verian (Emnid), 18 Jul 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.