Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,449
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU38.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%-1.0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Jul 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 38.0%, followed by Grüne on 17.0%. 1,449 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Jul 2020, SPD gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne -1.1average 18.1
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- FDP +0.4average 5.6
- CDU/CSU +0.3average 37.7
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU252
- Grüne113
- SPD106
- AfD66
- Linke53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD358 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.