Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 July 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 24 Jun 2020 to 2 Jul 2020
- Respondents
- 1,436
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,436 people were surveyed from 24 Jun 2020 to 2 Jul 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Jun 2020, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 4 Jul 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.0average 18.0
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 37.8
- SPD +0.8average 15.2
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- AfD -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU243
- Grüne125
- SPD105
- AfD66
- Linke52
- FDP39
- CDU/CSU + Grüne368 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke361 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP348 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP334 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 27 Jun 2020Verian (Emnid), 12 Jul 2020 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2020
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.