Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 June 2020 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- BILD am Sonntag
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Jun 2020
- Respondents
- 1,550
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU37.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD10.0%±0
- Linke8.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Jun 2020.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 37.0%, followed by Grüne on 18.0%. 1,550 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Jun 2020, method Telefonisch, commissioned by BILD am Sonntag.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Jun 2020, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 27 Jun 2020. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD +0.9average 15.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 37.8
- FDP +0.5average 5.5
- Linke +0.2average 7.8
- Grüne -0.1average 18.1
- AfD ±0average 10.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU246
- Grüne119
- SPD106
- AfD66
- Linke53
- FDP40
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Linke + FDP339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.